In the aftermath of a historic drought, East Africa, particularly Somalia, is grappling with an unprecedented natural disaster characterized by severe floods, prompting the United Nations to categorize it as a once-in-a-century event. The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) revealed that approximately 1.6 million individuals in Somalia are at risk of being impacted by the deluge resulting from heavy seasonal downpours. This perilous situation has been exacerbated by the confluence of two climate phenomena: El Niño and the Indian Ocean Dipole.
The torrential rains, commencing in early October, have already claimed the lives of at least 29 people and displaced over 300,000 individuals in Somalia. Moreover, towns and villages across northern Kenya have been submerged, adding to the humanitarian crisis. The floods have not spared camps housing people displaced by both an Islamist insurgency and a severe drought, forcing inhabitants to evacuate for the second time, as reported by aid organizations.
The grim outlook presented by OCHA foresees large-scale displacement, heightened humanitarian needs, and substantial property damage. An alarming statistic indicates that approximately 1.5 million hectares (3.70 million acres) of farmland may face destruction, intensifying the impact on communities already grappling with the aftermath of an Islamist insurgency and the worst drought experienced in four decades.
Martin Griffiths, the Under-Secretary-General and UN’s Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator, warned about the potential escalation of humanitarian needs in vulnerable communities due to extreme weather linked to the ongoing El Niño. He emphasized the importance of proactive measures to address these looming crises, asserting that understanding the risks is crucial for effective response and mitigation strategies.
As East Africa contends with this dual onslaught of drought and floods, the international community faces the urgent task of mobilizing resources and support to alleviate the suffering of affected populations and prevent further escalation of the humanitarian crisis.